Peter Thiel - Thiel Macro LLC Investment Strategy & Portfolio Analysis

How Thiel Macro LLC allocates capital, manages risk, and constructs its portfolio — based on SEC 13F filings.

According to the SEC 13F filed on Aug 14, 2026, Peter Thiel's Thiel Macro LLC portfolio reflects a highly concentrated, high-conviction, thematic, opportunistic approach across 7 reported 13F positions as of quarter-end Jun 30, 2026. Portfolio returns are primarily driven by a small set of mega-cap compounders, with the top five holdings accounting for approximately 81% of total exposure and Amazon.com, alone contributing ~28%. Economic outcomes are highly concentrated in a narrow set of utilities and consumer cyclical companies names. Exposure to high-growth and technology-oriented segments is moderate relative to peers, with performance instead anchored in durable, cash-generating businesses across utilities, consumer discretionary, and energy. The portfolio maintains moderate turnover, consistent with periodic rebalancing rather than a fully static book. Distinctive traits include Moderate Turnover, Highly Concentrated, Economically Concentrated.

Investment Style

Value, growth, quality, and behavioral classification from latest 13F holdings.

Highly Concentrated High Conviction Thematic Opportunistic

Primary type: Thematic Opportunist

Traits: Moderate Turnover, Highly Concentrated, Economically Concentrated, Sector-Tilted

Turnover profile

Active

Holding horizon

Moderate

Portfolio Construction

Concentration and position sizing in the latest filing.

Portfolio construction is highly concentrated: top three names represent 61.0% of assets, top five 80.9%, and the largest single position is 28.4%.

Top 3 weight

61.0%

Top 5 weight

80.9%

Top 10 weight

100.0%

Largest position

28.4%

Top holdings: Amazon.com, Inc., Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V., Vistra Corp., American Electric Power Company, DTE Energy Company — view full holdings

Sector Preferences

Where capital is allocated by sector.

Capital is tilted toward Utilities and Consumer Cyclical, with 3 sectors represented in the latest filing.

Leading sectors: Utilities, Consumer Cyclical, Energy

View full sector allocation

Risk Framework

Concentration, diversification, and turnover tolerance.

This investor accepts high single-name risk (largest position 28.4%, top ten 100.0%) and low economic diversification (HHI 0.03). Turnover tolerance maps to a active profile.

Largest position

28.4%

Top 10 weight

100.0%

Max sector

53.3%

Diversification

Low

Strategy Evolution

How the strategy changed between the two most recent filing periods.

Historical comparison requires at least two filing periods in our database.

Similar Investors

Peer group with comparable portfolio behavior.

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